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Remote sensing-based measurements of environmental covariates have proven effective at modeling soil moisture at high spatio-temporal resolutions, but often struggle to produce accurate readings in forested areas, where closed canopies and complex topography can interfere with surface reflectance observations. Spatial autocorrelation is another–often neglected–component of digital soil mapping (DSM), which has the potential to inflate model performance and obscure variable contributions. In this study, we integrated in situ, 10 m resolution measurements of soil moisture from a 1-hectare plot within the Lamont Sanctuary Forest (LSF) experimental site in the northeastern U.S. with remotely-sensed environmental covariates and a digital elevation model. Our goals were to (1) construct accurate machine-learning models of soil moisture; (2) assess and mitigate autocorrelation to improve our models’ generalization ability; (3) understand the relative influence of factors on forest soil moisture. We evaluated random forests (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Gaussian Process Regression, using a buffered block cross-validation strategy. The RF models demonstrated the best performance, with an R2 of 0.794 and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.046 m3/m3. Adjusting for spatial autocorrelation improved our model’s ability to handle novel samples by reducing data leakage. Downscaled land surface temperature (LST) was the overall most important predictor, followed by topographical features like slope and biotic indices like the normalized difference moisture index (NDMI). These results highlight key controls on soil moisture that could be used to inform targeted forest management. 

The history of astronomy has shown that advances in sensing methods open up new windows to the Universe and often lead to unexpected discoveries. Quantum sensor networks in combination with traditional astronomical observations are emerging as a novel modality for multimessenger astronomy. Here we develop a generic analysis framework that uses a data-driven approach to model the sensitivity of a quantum sensor network to astrophysical signals as a consequence of beyond-the-standard model (BSM) physics. The analysis method evaluates correlations between sensors to search for BSM signals coincident with astrophysical triggers, such as black hole mergers, supernovae, or fast radio bursts. Complementary to astroparticle approaches that search for particlelike signals (e.g., weakly interacting massive particles), quantum sensors are sensitive to wavelike signals from exotic quantum fields. This analysis method can be applied to networks of different types of quantum sensors, such as atomic clocks, matter-wave interferometers, and nuclear clocks, which can probe many types of interactions between BSM fields and standard model particles. We use this analysis method to carry out the first direct search utilizing a terrestrial network of precision quantum sensors for BSM fields emitted during a black hole merger. Specifically, we use the global network of optical magnetometers for exotic physics (GNOME) to perform a search for exotic low-mass field (ELF) bursts generated in coincidence with a gravitational-wave signal from a binary black hole merger (GW200311_115853) detected by LIGO/Virgo on the March 11, 2020. The associated gravitational wave heralds the arrival of the ELF burst that interacts with the spins of fermions in the magnetometers. This enables GNOME to serve as a tool for multimessenger astronomy. Our search found no significant events and, consequently, we place the first lab-based limits on combinations of ELF production and coupling parameters. 

The extremely large slip that occurred on the shallow portion of the Japan Trench subduction zone during the 2011 Mw 9.1 Tohoku-oki earthquake directly contributed to the devastating tsunami that inundated the Pacific coast of Japan. International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expedition 405 (Tracking Tsunamigenic Slip Across the Japan Trench) aimed to investigate the conditions and processes that facilitated the extremely shallow slip on the subduction interface during the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake to improve understanding of the factors that allow slip to the trench on subduction zones. Expedition 405 implemented a combined logging, coring, and observatory operational plan at two sites: Site C0026, ~8 km seaward of the Japan Trench, to characterize the input sediments to the subduction zone and Site C0019, ~6 km landward of the trench, where the plate boundary fault zone is present at ~825 meters below seafloor (mbsf). At Site C0026, the input section was logged to ~430 mbsf with a logging-while-drilling (LWD) assembly that characterized the succession of sediments and rocks from the seafloor to the basaltic rocks of the oceanic crust. Cores recovered from four holes as deep as 290 mbsf contain a sequence of hemipelagic and pelagic sediments that will be input into the shallow subduction system and therefore control both the localization of the plate boundary fault zone and the slip behavior of the plate boundary. Site C0019 was previously drilled in 2012 during Integrated Ocean Drilling Program Expedition 343 (Japan Trench Fast Drilling Project [JFAST]), and revisiting this site allowed temporal variations in the frontal prism and plate boundary fault zone to be evaluated. The LWD data to ~980 mbsf characterized the frontal prism, plate boundary fault zone, and lower plate to the basaltic volcanic rocks. Cores were recovered from multiple holes that contain a variety of muds from the frontal prism and the plate boundary fault zone, as well as lower plate materials. Comparison with the sediments from Site C0026 provides a basis to interpret the tectonic and sedimentological processes operating in the dynamic environment of the frontal prism. Cores from the plate boundary fault zone provide a unique window into the structural complexity of an active plate boundary fault that is known to host large seismic slip. Two borehole observatories were installed at Site C0019 that contain temperature sensors deployed to take measurements over a period of years and reveal the hydrogeologic structure of the shallow subduction system. These hugely successful drilling operations, combined with postexpedition work to measure the mechanical, frictional, paleomagnetic, and hydrogeologic properties of the core samples and to constrain the history of past seismic slip at Site C0019, will provide an unprecedented opportunity to advance our understanding of shallow subduction systems. Outreach during the expedition leveraged and elevated the success of the operations by sharing the outcomes with a variety of domestic and international audiences, including scientists, students, educators, stakeholders, and the general public. Thanks to the efforts of a large group of onboard outreach officers and their onshore support, activities included ship-to-shore broadcast events; interviews with science party members and crew; the publication of videos, blogs, magazine articles, and social media posts; and development of formalized classroom lesson plans and materials. 

Abstract The wind-driven exchange through complex ridges and islands between marginal seas and the open ocean is studied using both numerical and analytical models. The models are forced by a steady, spatially uniform northward wind stress intended to represent the large-scale, low-frequency wind patterns typical of the seasonal monsoons in the western Pacific Ocean. There is an eastward surface Ekman transport out of the marginal sea and westward geostrophic inflows into the marginal sea. The interaction between the Ekman transport and an island chain produces strong baroclinic flows along the island boundaries with a vertical depth that scales with the ratio of the inertial boundary layer thickness to the baroclinic deformation radius. The throughflows in the gaps are characterized by maximum transport in the center gap and decreasing transports toward the southern and northern tips of the island chain. An extended island rule theory demonstrates that throughflows are determined by the collective balance between viscosity on the meridional boundaries and the eastern side boundary of the islands. The outflowing transport is balanced primarily by a shallow current that enters the marginal sea along its equatorward boundary. The islands can block some direct exchange and result in a wind-driven overturning cell within the marginal sea, but this is compensated for by eastward zonal jets around the southern and northern tips of the island chain. Topography in the form of a deep slope, a ridge, or shallow shelves around the islands alters the current pathways but ultimately is unable to limit the total wind-driven exchange between the marginal sea and the open ocean. 

The binary black hole signal GW250114, the loudest gravitational wave detected to date, offers a unique opportunity to test Einstein’s general relativity (GR) in the high-velocity, strong-gravity regime and probe whether the remnant conforms to the Kerr metric. Upon perturbation, black holes emit a spectrum of damped sinusoids with specific, complex frequencies. Our analysis of the postmerger signal shows that at least two quasinormal modes are required to explain the data, with the most damped remaining statistically significant for about one cycle. We probe the remnant’s Kerr nature by constraining the spectroscopic pattern of the dominant quadrupolar ( $\ell =m=2$) mode and its first overtone to match the Kerr prediction to tens of percent at multiple postpeak times. The measured mode amplitudes and phases agree with a numerical-relativity simulation having parameters close to GW250114. By fitting a parametrized waveform that incorporates the full inspiral-merger-ringdown sequence, we constrain the fundamental $(\ell =m=4)$mode to tens of percent and bound the quadrupolar frequency to within a few percent of the GR prediction. We perform a suite of tests—spanning inspiral, merger, and ringdown—finding constraints that are comparable to, and in some cases 2–3 times more stringent than those obtained by combining dozens of events in the fourth Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog. These results constitute the most stringent single-event verification of GR and the Kerr nature of black holes to date, and outline the power of black-hole spectroscopy for future gravitational-wave observations. 

Abstract The Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC) is a collection of short-duration (transient) gravitational-wave signals identified by the LIGO–Virgo–KAGRA Collaboration in gravitational-wave data produced by the eponymous detectors. The catalog provides information about the identified candidates, such as the arrival time and amplitude of the signal and properties of the signal’s source as inferred from the observational data. GWTC is the data release of this dataset, and version 4.0 extends the catalog to include observations made during the first part of the fourth LIGO–Virgo–KAGRA observing run up until 2024 January 31. This Letter marks an introduction to a collection of articles related to this version of the catalog, GWTC-4.0. The collection of articles accompanying the catalog provides documentation of the methods used to analyze the data, summaries of the catalog of events, observational measurements drawn from the population, and detailed discussions of selected candidates.